Quote:
Originally Posted by tejdog1
The thing with OOTP is - there aren't players like Ivan Wilson, or if there are, you don't know it.
Wilson's got a super high ceiling, but he's a HUGE SUPER risk to get there, it's very likely he flames out in short season ball. But there's stuff to dream on there, big arm, lots of speed, potential power, 5 tool potential, etc... that's what OOTP draft classes lack in the current version beyond round 2 at the latest.
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Those scouting reports seem to contradict each other. When I read phrases like:
"He's an average runner, a little slow out of the box and better underway"
"best suited for either corner"
I don't get the impression we're talking about someone with "lots of speed" or with plus OF range. Wilson sounds like a raw 2-tool guy to me: plus power, plus arm. He's got two average-ish tools (speed and glove) and one minus tool (bat). He's the kind of guy I'd expect to have ratings like 42/63/38 Con/Pow/Eye in OOTP with a plus arm, good RF defense, slightly above average speed, and very low current ratings. I find guys like that all the time in OOTP drafts in the 3rd round - guys who, if they reach their potentials, won't be all that exciting, but who could be regulars or stars with a bit of a potential boost.
I do agree with you completely that OOTP can do a much better job both modeling risk/reward for prospects, and of conveying risk information to users. When I open up a draft prospect's profile, it should be obvious to me if I'm looking at a high risk/high reward kind of player, or a lower ceiling guy with a better chance to get there. It takes a bit of work to figure that out right now.