Quote:
Originally Posted by Painmantle
Park factors are nothing more than Part of an equation for League Totals and Modifiers. One thing to consider is that a general rule is,Player ratings don't create the Stats, League Totals and Modifiers do. Player ratings distribute the Stats.
So when a Stadium has a LHB HR Modifier of 1.20 you can expect there to be approx. 20% More LHB Homers than would normally be hit in that park during the season in question. The Era and actual Stats produced for any given Season are the Basis for the calculations, without that it would be impossible to determine the Starting Point for the equation. It is NEVER based on Individual Player Stats, Only on League Totals and/or Totals in a selected Park compared across the League average
While setting Players up with player creation "Base Current Ratings on neutralized Stats" is supposed to put everyone on a level playing field as far as Era's are concerned, I Don't believe it works as well as we'd hoped it would. Or maybe even at all for that matter, I haven't heard any new news on that lately
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Good explanation, thanks.
One thing that still would bug me though is why have both RH and LH be the same number? Obviously it's to properly reflect that the ballpark itself would be say 20% more likely to have a HR hit there than another but that seems to counter intuitively reflect that the RH vs. LH aspect isn't equal mostly due to park layout and/or talent level.
Just looking at Fenway Park 2018 for R/HR/LH HR/RH HR: 1.087 (4)/0.881 (25)/0.732 (29)/1.007 (14)
Adjusted for the 2018 MLB, Fenway Park would expect 12% fewer HRs and OOTP would plop down 0.88 for LH and RH HR. The issue when digging deeper is the disparity due to the park layout and how it's actually league average for RH but one of the worst parks for LH hitters.
Yet if you were to play out a season in OOTP, this disparity wouldn't properly be reflected. So Player X may hit 12% fewer HR but as a RH hitter, he should realistically be expected to hit closer to an average number with maybe 2% variance whereas a LH hitter would actually be hitting possibly a higher total than expected.