Quote:
Originally Posted by Lukas Berger
Just looking at the image you posted, this pretty much just looks like it's how many SP's are in that particular historical class. It's not like a lot of the guys with RP stamina should have starter stamina but don't. For the most part, they're just career RP's.
Offhand, only one that looks a little off might be David West, who should maybe have borderline SP caliber stamina, but since he threw over four times as many games as a RP than an SP in his career, it's not like this is egregious.
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Lukas, I was talking to him about this in another thread... and maybe this could be something you guys could consider in a future version. When I run some numbers it does look like there are too few SPers. Woudn't have to change the threshold much to have several of these guys generate with a 3 or 4 stamina and STILL be career minor league pitchers.
Average career for a drafted Starting Pitcher needs to be 8 to 9 years at the pace the OP mentions (15 for 26 teams with 5 man rotations). Guys like Mark Thurmond will generate with a stamina of 2 when you weight by their career numbers. For perspective, if you were to use the 3 year rating to generate them you get 23 players with at least a 3 stamina instead of 15. Average career length for this population would be 5 to 6 years to keep the rotations filled.
At any rate, my thought is that on average you should be seeing the same number of pitchers with Starting Pitcher level stamina whether you imprt based on career stats... or on 3 years stats. Right now that is not the case by a sizeable margin (15 versus 23 for 1983 which is likely representitive of other seasons).
Long story short... I think you could up the threshold for having at least 3 stamina when calcing off career stats and get more representative results any given season. Haven't checked, but I'll bet the average age of a Starting Pitcher (actively in a rotation) when basing off career stats is a good 2 years older than what was seen in the real life equivalent year looking back. Not something I paid attention to in the past, so clearly not a huge deal... but if it is based on a formula it might be something incredibly easy to tweak.