First of all, we had only one injury of significance in Spring Training, and that was to Victor de Jesus, slated to make the team but will miss the first month of the season with a strained abdominal muscle. So as a result, here's the opening day roster:
C: G.Moreno, C.Perez
1B: Barker
2B: Kirkley
SS: Widmar
3B: B.Witt
IF: DeLeon
IF/OF: Ayers
OF: Clark, Jenkins, Dominguez, Jhon Diaz, Hodges
SP: Little, Sachais, Hayes, Leiter, Money
MR: Morfin, Saldana, Godwin, Mooney, Aparicio
SU: Alvarado, Jordan Diaz
CL: De La Cruz
A couple of odd names on the roster. First of all, D'Andre Hodges makes the team as the 5th OF in place of de Jesus. He had a monster spring with 5 HR and 13 RBI and slugged over 1.000. He has big-time power and came over in the Rodolfo Rivas-for-Hayden Johns deal last winter. The next surprise is David Saldana, the fine prospect acquired along with Jaiden Hardaway in the deal that sent Cole Patten and Jose Gonzales to the Giants last winter. I wasn't planning on him making the team but he is out of options so he has to. Morfin, acquired in the Judson Fabian trade, is also out of options, so this means I have 5 lefties in the pen, one more than I want, so I will explore a trade for Saldana or Morfin before the season starts.
Because we're using the 2013 schedule in order to play the NL Central as scheduled, our "opening day" is March 23 because the Dodgers and D-backs are playing in Japan (or was that Australia that year?). We actually don't start until April 1.
Here are the preseason predictions:
Yeesh. 341 HRs for us this season? 62 from Joe Barker? This has to be Publix Park, I think I'll fiddle with the HR factors. The MLB record for HRs in a season is 309 by Minnesota in 2019, it's possible it was broken during the decade of this save. We hit 293 last season. Of course the Trop suppresses homers by about 10-15% while PP increases them by about 10% so just moving to a neutral park would give us a bump.
Update: I didn't realize the Publix Park settings increased HRs by 33%, not 10%. I brought them back to a more reasonable 10%, and our wins went up from 107 to 113. Barker and Clark are now projected for 50 with Dominguez 54, which is reasonable considering the change in ballpark. We're also still projected for a 4.19 team ERA, which is about 0.30-0.40 higher than last year, also to be expected.