View Single Post
Old 06-21-2006, 03:44 AM   #8
dougaiton
Hall Of Famer
 
dougaiton's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Location:
Posts: 3,414
Quote:
Originally Posted by redmarkYankees
Two test sims, with the default FBL. No settings changed (also using my injuries.txt). Only difference is # of draft rounds. Run for 10 years, do SQL dump, check ages of players on active roster.

Sim 1 (5 draft rounds)
Code:
Age     Players
18	0
19	3
20	6
21	14
22	13
23	34
24	40
25	30
26	48
27	34
28	27
29	22
30	23
31	15
32	22
33	31
34	11
35	9
36	8
37	4
38	1
39	2
40	0
41	3
Average age: 27.64


Sim 2 (10 draft rounds)

Code:
Age     Players
18	0
19	0
20	6
21	21
22	16
23	23
24	38
25	40
26	54
27	52
28	34
29	18
30	19
31	19
32	12
33	17
34	9
35	8
36	4
37	4
38	2
39	1
40	1
41	2
Average age: 27.14

Hardly conclusive, but 0.5 years difference in the average is hardly insignificant either. Also a sharper decline after the age of 27/28.

Decided to do another, 20 player draft this time.


Sim 3 (20 draft rounds)
Code:
Age     Players
18	0
19	1
20	1
21	8
22	10
23	34
24	53
25	31
26	46
27	71
28	33
29	20
30	18
31	14
32	9
33	17
34	11
35	13
36	4
37	2
38	1
39	1
40	1
41	0
42	0
43	1
Average age: 27.26

Average age up a little, but even greater concentration of players around 24-28 and a more rapid tailoff.

Still got the saves, so I might run these for another decade or so later.

Thanks very much - I'm going to try another ten years on mine to the point the league is 100% draftees rather than startup players. I am quite cheered by your results, because that looks like a semi-normal age distribution.

Last edited by dougaiton; 06-21-2006 at 03:47 AM.
dougaiton is offline