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rasnell - in the analysis I provided above you were getting league results that were very close to historical totals in HRs. In many of the seasons you were within 2%. The modifiers are calculated mathematically each season from a formula based on league totals from the previous season, they are not set in stone. It is not going to be possible to be more accurate by guesswork. Many people have posted extensive studies comparing their results with historical league totals and the system works very well, in fact it may even be more consistent if you use one of the modified era_stats.txt files that come with my DB.
Try using the Arod23/Garlon2006DB v1.2 instead of the lahman DB.
Did you have injuries enabled or fatigue set to high? I have not seen anyone else report any problems with great HR hitters not hitting HRs. As I have said before many people have posted results with Foxx, Gehrig, Ruth all getting well over 500 Hrs as they should.
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