Thread: Substitutions
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Old 06-23-2008, 09:10 PM   #6
__JR__
Minors (Single A)
 
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Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Near St. Paul, MN
Posts: 93
Okay, these last games skewed my 9 inning game results because I used the next 100 biggest files in the box scores folder, so ignore the 9 inning games.
  • 8.5 Inning
    • 5.329 Average
    • 2.893 STDEV
    • 152 games
  • 9 Inning
    • 7.137 Average
    • 6.198 STDEV
    • 227 Games
  • 10 Inning
    • 14.818 Average
    • 2.8 STDEV
    • 33 games
  • X>11 Inning
    • 17.5 Average
    • 4.778 STDEV
    • 88 total games
    • 12.5 Inning/ game average
Based on these results, I see a 8.918 sub/game average, but again these are skewed since normally you won't see this high a proportion of extra inning games.

The number that scares me here is 14 average in 10 inning games. It has a low STDEV, but only half are from a random set. If thats accurate, it equates to approximately an extra 4 substitutions per team as soon as extra innings take effect.

Interestingly, there was one incredibly weird game that went 14 innings with 9 total subs. However, all 9 of the subs were on the visiting team. The home team made 2 pitching changes in 14 innings, and those were the only moves they made. Hrmm.....
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