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Old 02-06-2009, 10:04 PM   #7
Garlon
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Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 4,276
SteveP - If you can collect the data for steals of 2B and steals of 3B and data for double steals going for each individual season going all the way back to the 1950's from Retrosheet maybe we can model it. We don't know where we are until we A. have the historical league totals data and B. have the OOTP sim totals to track those events. Ultimately, since we already get SB Attempts and SB% correct, their impact on scoring will be basically the same.

Right now one of the main flaws in historicals is that league ERA and Runs Scored per 9 innings runs a bit high even when league OPS and all other categories are right on target. This suggests that OOTP tends to get a few more baserunners from first to third and from second to home on singles than perhaps it should.
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