Quote:
Originally Posted by pstrickert
1974. I've simmed it countless times. Here's what I've noticed:
1. CAL overperforms, often winning the division title.
2. OAK and BAL and LA seldom approach their RL team ERAs.
3. Each team's FldPct and RF is wildly inconsistent from one sim to the next.
The major problem is defense, I believe. Maybe there's not enough difference between the best and worst defensive teams. Or maybe play outcomes do not take defense into consideration enough. Or the formula for calculating defensive ratings is inadequate.
Does this match up with your experience, old timer?
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Actually with v10, those numbers are pretty consistent now over 6 different sims.
One team whose FPct varied quite a bit from RL was the NYY. I looked over their fielding stats to see why. It turns out, the only reason the simulated Yanks did better was because they used better defenders (based on FPct) than did the RL Yanks. The numbers of those who played were very similar to RL.
I have injuries turned off, so players who were injured in RL and who play regularly in the sim will sometimes significantly affect the team results and record. Also, player usage and lineup orders make a big difference as well.