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knockahoma · 06-11-2009, 10:24 AM

Putting on my future cap, I suspect big changes in attitude are coming at BABIP.

TOT/YR is a stat that works poorly in conjunction with BABIP. Bill James, in a 2006, article admitted scratching his head over defensive stats that had strange variance. We "missing" something, he said.

If you examine the TOT/YR, you'll see strange fluctuations that leave only a few inferences regarding the cause of those wide and sudden variances in good fielders:

1. Injury
2. Chance

Or the 3rd inference, which challenges current BABIP philosophy-- the pitchers are exerting much more influence than currently believed on balls in play.

06-11-2009, 10:24 AM	#4
knockahoma All Star Reserve Join Date: Dec 2002 Posts: 792	Putting on my future cap, I suspect big changes in attitude are coming at BABIP. TOT/YR is a stat that works poorly in conjunction with BABIP. Bill James, in a 2006, article admitted scratching his head over defensive stats that had strange variance. We "missing" something, he said. If you examine the TOT/YR, you'll see strange fluctuations that leave only a few inferences regarding the cause of those wide and sudden variances in good fielders: 1. Injury 2. Chance Or the 3rd inference, which challenges current BABIP philosophy-- the pitchers are exerting much more influence than currently believed on balls in play. Last edited by knockahoma; 06-11-2009 at 10:39 AM.