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Old 11-19-2009, 02:39 AM   #15
Left-handed Badger
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: at the altar of the baseball god praying for middle infield that can catch the ball
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kq76 View Post
MD's right.

Are you familiar with run expectancy and break-even SB%? If not, you might want to read up on it a bit. Note that the BE point does depend on the run environment though so it's not always 75 or 67 or whatever. What you're doing with your math doesn't really work, especially if you're only looking at the minus of the CS without the plus of the SB.
I'll have to read up on that if I ever get time. I always figured you needed 2 SB per CS to break even (if you get caught you lose a base and an out). Would be interesting to see what their ideas are.
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