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Old 04-25-2012, 08:22 PM   #6
Charlie Hough
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Join Date: May 2006
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Yes, we see a constant stream of postings from people who claim that there are various flaws in OOTP with aging and development patterns, frequency of certain types of plays, etc.

Yet we almost never see anyone post any data sets with a sample size to back up their claims.

The reality is that the vast majority of 'flaws' that people perceive are actually a product of their own cognitive bias. For example, they believe that it is rare for players in their late 20's to experience a rapid decline in their productivity or ability. Yet we have countless cases from MLB history to show that this is a very common occurrence.

Now, if you can show full sets of data to compare the number of OOTP flame-outs to those in MLB history, under controlled and identical conditions, then we'll be getting somewhere.

A lot of effort has been expended over the years to get this game to produce results that mirror real life. The problem is that most people's perceptions of real life are based on their limited observations and hunches, and if they say the actual MLB statistics for these issues, they would be shocked at what they find.
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