Quote:
Originally Posted by RchW
Here is data from a more recent league, batters only. This is number of batters for a given age. It should be obvious what's wrong with my development and aging modifiers. Any one care to say what I should do with the settings?
What else do we see. In real life for hitters there is a big move to younger players and a big drop off after 33. Is MLB unrealistic?
Show data before making conclusions.
EDIT
This is a revised chart. I forgot to normalize the data.
|
Perhaps your charts seem to look normal because the talent randomness is switching up the good players into bad players and the bad players into good players so the numbers in terms of talented players stays leveled and normalized.
What I'm saying is, perhaps for every Wade Boggs, Don Mattingly, Roger Clemens etc etc who turn to duds, there is a Rafael Santana, John Cerutti, Nelson Liriano who turns into a star.
If this is the case though, it doesn't make it realistic or functional. Yes, there should be a few cases of stars turning into duds AND some cases of duds turning into stars, BUT this should be the exception, NOT the norm. If indeed stars are switching places with the duds to make the league look completely different after a few years (in terms of who the top performers are) then that's still a problem. Sure from a statistical point of view you're numbers look good, they work out fine. But there's still a problem there. Doesn't anybody else think there is a problem when your league's top performers are no longer recognizable by the 5th year into your league?
For your MLB 2011 league, would you be able to check who the top performers are and see if we recognize them? Could you do this after like 6-8 years into the league. Are any of the stars of 2011 still stars by 2018? If you happen to find one player, then look inside his ratings and stats and see if he had sustained consistent ratings/stats (at a star level). See how many consistent years these guys put together before falling off track if they did fall off track. Do you have anybody that didn't fall off track? I'm not necessarily looking for Albert Pujols level performers. But just consistent star players who had sustained success (ratings and stats) through their prime years for at least 5 seasons. In real life, I can name tons of these type of cases (these type of consistent performers). Can you find any in your simulation?