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Old 11-24-2012, 08:41 AM   #3
EvilGenius
Minors (Double A)
 
Join Date: Feb 2011
Posts: 153
When scouting accuracy is low, this is a concern. One of the "cheats" would have been to shop him around to other teams (though its not really a cheat). Is everyone salivating over him? Or just that one team? If every team is offering a king's ransom, that'll clue you in. If not, well then, other team's bad scouting should be mercilessly pillaged.

But what's past is past. Here's how you can view it now. Superstars rarely come out of international scouting. It can happen, but from a "playing the odds" standpoint, it was a good trade. If this trade comes up 10 times, you'll come out ahead more often than not.

Alternatively, you got some really good players out of the deal. Even if he is the top prospect the other team thinks he is, how many top prospects actually pan out? So had you kept him, you still had some risk. You traded high risk/high reward for known reward/no risk (and a pretty high reward no less). Again, that's no necessarily a bad deal. Real teams do this all the time.

Unlike the Babe Ruth deal (and all the deals that preceded Babe Ruth), you got actual talent in return.
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