In looking at the dynamics of how the Hall evolves over time, I came to the conclusion that if these "once in a decade" are once in a decade players, it doesn't matter when they appear. They will perform at an extremely high level and will gain entry easily without any regard to what the current standards may be. They were just so good for so long that the minimal standards are meaningless.
So, I enlarged the chart and snipped off the top of the chart and left the plots of entrants with composite scores of 8 and below to see how these entries changed over time.
We see the established floor of a 4 score break in the 65-75th plots and then a new floor get firmly established around a score of 3 starting around the 90th plot.
While the floor has shifted, and we had our entrants since Aaron (excluding Dutch Leonard) be technical floor breakers, we haven't seen an entrant with a composite score below a 2 since Kenny Lofton was the 190th entry.
If this experiment were to continue (and it cannot, because of the lack of RL HOF entries to use in correspondence) we would still see the once in a decade players enter with their high scores, but we would also continue to see lower composite scores for entrants, not because they aren't as good as those from 50, 60, or 70 years before, but because of the expanded league structure and the increased difficulty to get Ink points, especially Black Ink points, in this environment.
We would also probably not see as many, if any, entrants with scores below a 2 composite. This is because with a league of 30 teams, there are more players that will accumulate HOFm/s numbers that will get them into the HOF which will have their composite scores close to, if not over a 2 before the Ink that they did accumulate is added. Therefore, having the selection committee going to the leader boards to find entrants will not be necessary. It is when the leader boards are used that we have gotten these composites below a 2.
This is not saying that I don't think Lofton or Lobert or Congalton belong in a HOF. I think they do. It's just that their skills and their output didn't match up favorably with the Ink/HOF metrics. These metrics, like any single or set of measurements, do not tell you the whole story about a ball player, or the game of baseball. They are not Gospel, but a guide.
This is the aspect of this exercise that has given me the most encouragement. The system, by using purely objective criteria, and a random list sort, has resulted in a HOF that looks to have been filled by subjective voters and a political Veterans Committee. Big smile for that.
Last edited by VanillaGorilla; 12-21-2012 at 12:42 PM.
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