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Old 02-07-2013, 11:39 PM   #21
VanillaGorilla
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Hall Chart

After the last class of inductees, the GC average held steady and is now a 4.02. I would expect a large class to bring down the average, but this was not the case. With 11 entrants coming in the next class, we will see if the GC stays constant, or does come down. I have not had to go to the leader boards for any induction. It is too early to tell, but I think having 30 teams' worth of players allows for a sufficient number of qualifying entries without having to go "off the board to the boards."

We have approximately 1/8th of the Hall filled. 6 inductees are from the previous Hall. I didn't put any thought into a target number for repeat entries, prior to the start. But if this rate holds up, we should have about 50 at the end of the run.

If 50 is a good number for repeat entries, then I expect to see about 20 players in both HOFs that are RL HOFers. This is a bit of a SWAG. The entrants in each Hall are not completely independent of each other, as far as the probability of their entrances is concerned. RL HOFers are more likely to put up HOF numbers than those that are not RL HOFers, generally. So, my SWAG is 20.

On the chart we see the floor still at 3 and lots of plots along the 4 line. I think this is a result of the updated modifiers that actually work from a 4.0 expected mean. Still looking for that first "Once in a Generation" career.

Fred Carroll as the 6th plot and Tony Campama as the 24th plot, in conjunction, represent the current median score.
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