Class of 2018 (1946) Hitters, Part 2: Alyea, Dunn
Brant Alyea is the first surprise inductee as far as being one of those guys that I didn't think had a chance when I started going over his profile. I don't assume a player will notmake it. I tabulate all need numbers and then compare them to the current standards. 99% of the time I know who isn't going in when I start. Alyea is a one-percenter.
Brant Alyea was the 11th player selected in the 1990 draft (San Diego).
He did not sign with the Padres, and the next year he was taken in the second rd (after the supplemental first rd) by the Brewers with the 81st pick overall. I don't know how much less the $333,000 signing bonus was than the San Diego offer the year before, but it was surely significant.
Grabbing what would prove to be an immense bargain, the Brewers kept Alyea in Milwaukee for the duration of his career, which ended after the 2003 season.
During his career, Alyea collected 1292 hits and hit 321 HRs. You see the makings of my surprise, here. His career slash line is 290/370/556 for a vary Hall-worthy npa OPS+ of 148. But with a career that only consisted of 1336 games, I didn't think he would have the totals to get in on the Veteran Standard, let alone the standard standard.
However, Alyea had an outstanding start to his career. His first seven seasons he only once posted a npa OPS+ below 145. He led the league in HRs twice, RBI twice, and hits once.
In 1995 he led the league in HRs, RBI, R, H, RC, WAR, and other categories as he took MVP honors. He hit 63 HRs, drove in 169 RBI, and collected 215 hits and scored 131 times...all league bests. He slashed 342/432/700 for a npa OPS+ of 197.
Injuries were not a constant, yet, for Alyea. In 1996 he again played 162 games (the 4th time in his career to do so) and drove in 171 runs on 48 HRs and a .308 batting average. After that season, he never managed to play in 120 games, again.
Alyea had won the ROY on a 45 HR season. He appeared in 3 AS games in his career. He never made it to a WS, but he is remembered as a great in Milwaukee, and now is inducted into the tractor shed in Dyersville.
Alyea gets in by virtue of his Black Ink being above the Hall average.
Black Ink: 25
Gray Ink: 80
HOFm: 84
HOFs: 35
Gorilla Composite: 2.8
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Adam Dunn was no surprise. The only slight surprise was that he didn't get in on the First Ballot screening. He breezes into the Hall with some very Dunnesque numbers, and some not so Dunnesque.
Dunn was drafted by the Rangers with the 25th overall pick in the 1995 draft. He retired following the 2011 season. In his first 7 seasons, he hit 44 or more HRs in each season (the other, he hit 36) and both scored and drove in 100 or more runs in each of those seasons.
In 2001, he hit a career high 68 HRs while batting .311 (!!). Dunn, in a shocker of shockers, hit .300 4 times in his career, here. He led the Rangers to a WS win as he posted his 4th straight 60 HR season (he hit 59 in 1997...one more there would have made it 6 straight seasons).
In 1998 he won the league MVP with a 63 HR campaign that saw him hit a career high average of .326. This was also good for a batting title. Yep, that's right...Adam Dunn batting champion. His OBP of 436 and his slg% of .725 were also league bests. This made for a npa OPS+ of 207.
Dunn won 4 HR titles and appeared in 5 AS games. His career slash line of 284/406/615 is a HOF elite npa OPS+ of 169.
His .615 career slg% is currently 4th All-Time. Only Dutch Zwilling, the leader, is a HOF eligible player with a higher career slg %. His 545 career HRs places him 12th on the All Time list, sandwiched between Joey Votto and Fred McGriff.
He drove in 1387 runs (30th) and scored 1217 times (48th). In a semi shock, his 1434 career strikeouts has him 57th on that list. He had 1621 hits, which means almost 34% of his base hits were HRs.
Dunn enters the HOF with Black Ink and HOFm scores above the Hall average.
Black Ink: 51 (4)
Gray Ink: 119 (79)
HOFm: 181 (73)
HOFs: 44 (30)
Gorilla Composite: 4.8 (1.8)
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