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Interesting. Great answers!
So to take this a bit further, into the realm of contracts:
Say I have two free agents and only enough money for one of them.
One is a 1 star player who hit .400 and 25 HRs the previous season.
The other is a 4 star player who hit .200 the previous season.
Is it always the best move to sign the 4 star player since their stats will have no effect on the probability of good future performance?
I also assume that the performance does have an effect on contract demands. Is that correct?
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