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Fyrestorm3 · 10-30-2013, 12:41 PM

Considering that season projections are simply what the player is "on pace for", it makes perfect sense to me - if a player has 28 hits in 100 at-bats through a third of the season (a .280 average), then his projections for the season should be 300 at-bats with 84 hits (a .280 average). Same goes for all "percentage" stats - SLG, OBP, ERA, WHIP, BABIP... if a guy's done something 30% of the time to a certain point in the season, there's no reason to assume he's suddenly going to start doing it 50% of the time.

10-30-2013, 12:41 PM	#10
Fyrestorm3 Hall Of Famer Join Date: Aug 2011 Location: Tampa Bay, Massachusetts Posts: 2,928	Considering that season projections are simply what the player is "on pace for", it makes perfect sense to me - if a player has 28 hits in 100 at-bats through a third of the season (a .280 average), then his projections for the season should be 300 at-bats with 84 hits (a .280 average). Same goes for all "percentage" stats - SLG, OBP, ERA, WHIP, BABIP... if a guy's done something 30% of the time to a certain point in the season, there's no reason to assume he's suddenly going to start doing it 50% of the time.