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Old 02-23-2015, 08:06 PM   #82
Lukas Berger
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Nice, Côte d'Azur, France
Posts: 21,424
I'm not sure I'm getting all the talk about the stats correlating with potential.

IRL, HS stats literally mean nothing and provide NO value in projecting a player's future performance or draft status.

College stats are certainly quite a bit more predictive, but how many college stars have been MiLB flameouts, or never been considered prospects? Too many too count.

Look at what a total non-prospect like Raph Rhymes did in the SEC. He hit .431 one season! Ok, yeah ba itself doesn't mean much, but still, .431! In the SEC! He also hit .483 in in Junior College.

Another MiLB depth guy, non-prospect type is Jordan Ribera. He lead the NCAA in HR's in 2010 with 27! He wasn't even drafted after that season, though he was eligible!

How about the pitcher generally considered to be among the greatest in NCAA history, Michael Roth?

He made MLB, but only as a (bad) LOOGY, whom the Angels unceremoniously dumped this offseason.

As for good players with bad college stats, how about Bobby Parnell?

These are just the first few examples that occurred to me, there are hundreds and even thousands more.

So the stats, whether game generated or feeder generated, shouldn't actually mean too much. There should be good prospects with mediocre stats and poor prospects with great stats, just like in real life.

Last edited by Lukas Berger; 02-23-2015 at 08:08 PM.
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