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Originally Posted by Friendly_Beaver
I spent a lot of time testing this yesterday, hiring different scouts and reloading my save and I can safely say that none of them rate pitching prospects correctly. Every one of them had highly touted prospects like Tyler Jay, Brady Aiken and Phil Bickford as 2 star potential pitchers.
I can't even use the scouts anymore because it's just annoying me. I sent my scout to watch Roberto Osuna who's 20 in AAA and 10-1 with a 1.95 ERA and he comes back to me and tells me he's terrible.... I did this with multiple scouts and the results ranged from he's terrible to he may be a depth reliever....
Anyone have something they could suggest to get realistic evaluations of pitching talent? I don't want 100% accuracy but at least to the point where I don't just disregard anything the scout says about a pitcher.
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I think you just need to discount the scouting report text, which has always been problematic. I'm not familiar with Osuna's ratings, but if a prospect has one component rating that doesn't project to be very good, it will often tank the scout's overall rating regardless of whether the "sum of the parts" would logically result in an MLB-caliber player. The star ratings are similarly limited in value. So for example, if a pitcher has a low movement rating the scout will tell you he'll get lit up with home runs at the MLB level even though his stuff may project out to have a high enough K/9 to compensate.
The scouting model is still worthwhile because scouts will differ on how they rate players' individual attributes. So I'd just focus on the ratings for those attributes, and make your decisions accordingly.
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"Sometimes, this is like going to a grocery store. You’ve got a list until you get to the check-out stand. And then you start reading People magazine, and all this other [stuff] ends up in the basket."
-Sandy Alderson on the MLB offseason
Last edited by Cinnamon J. Scudworth; 08-12-2015 at 12:16 PM.
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