Quote:
Originally Posted by lightzout18
I have played three test games (3 seasons long) because this has happened to me many times before (a much bigger sample size) and I wanted to isolate the cause.
I traded for Corey Seager and Francisco Lindor in each, both 5 stars. One of the test games I hired all my minor league personal to make sure they were good with young players. I set my budget at $30,000,000 also.
Every time they dropped to like 3 star potential. This happens to me with all kinds of players and very rarely do my players pan out, especially my 5 star players.
Also, I will trade for players who are playing very well and when I get them they play poorly.
Also, does the development budget have a big impact or no?
Any advice?
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potential can always drop, especially in development years. it's normal and true to life. always assume when you draft a player it will go down a bit. a drafted top-prospect is typically overvalued.
you can exascerbate this problem by letting them stew too long at a perticular minor league level, or if you rush them too soon to the next minor league level. i know. it's tricky. most importantly, promote based on ratings, not stats. don't worry too much about minor league stats. set minimums you intend to use for each tier - use existing players to flesh out where the down/arrow starts to show up.
if the potential is tanking over several reports, see if either of those two things make sense for that player... it's also possible he is just a dud (bad work ethic/general personality among other reasons like bad luck). still keep them around, a late-blooming highly regarded prospect is a good thing. (players develop until 27 or 28 check manual, after that it works by different rules)
i've seen a top prospect's potential drop and then miraculously spring back up by his 6th year in minors. you just can't expect it to happen, but you do want to try.
Think of a high development budget as a greater probability of consistent development. so, yes, it is important. it will not turn a 50pot to a 60pot. prospects will always fail, but less often if you invest more in the system.
i only mentioned personality a bit. it's also vital to consistently positive development. coach's play a role too. i would suggest 'controlling' managers in your minor league system. they create the best environment for young players (less than 10 years mlb service - per the manual). make sure they handle rookies and players well - you can ignore handling vets in the minors, obviously.