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Hall Of Famer
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: High and outside
Posts: 3,897
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"Hardest" team to manage in OOTP19
I've done this for the last couple of versions so I thought I'd trot this out again for this year. In summary, I'm looking at predicted record, prospect ranking, team payroll, and market size and factoring them together to rank which team has the toughest job ahead of them for the near future. I'm calling it "BobbleValue". Higher BobbleValue is a more difficult challenge. The table:
Code:
Team W L Gms BA BR TOTAL*PAYROLL PayRate Market BobbleValue
Marlins 65 97 37 19 26 $82,962,142 1.55 28.57 6889
Royals 69 93 33 29 30 $110,562,500 2.14 7.25 5596
Mariners 81 81 21 30 25 $159,832,142 3.49 6.49 5130
Giants 82 80 20 26 28 $193,272,777 4.19 3.70 4354
Tigers 70 92 32 21 15 $122,120,000 2.48 8.33 4128
Mets 81 81 21 27 29 $148,662,000 3.32 4.41 4101
Orioles 75 87 27 17 20 $122,317,115 2.84 8.06 4024
Rockies 79 83 23 20 21 $127,787,500 2.93 7.69 3834
Diamondbacks 82 80 20 25 24 $125,520,000 2.74 7.94 3782
Rangers 79 83 23 23 17 $140,724,166 2.73 7.14 3355
Athletics 78 84 24 18 11 $50,698,333 1.37 30.30 2625
Pirates 76 86 26 16 16 $77,074,999 1.77 10.71 2408
Angels 84 78 18 14 18 $171,259,999 3.71 4.81 2343
Twins 82 80 20 12 14 $115,150,000 2.53 11.54 2237
Reds 72 90 30 9 9 $89,624,285 2.16 13.04 2108
Indians 93 69 9 22 23 $129,332,765 2.94 9.52 1837
Red Sox 93 69 9 24 22 $229,761,428 4.23 3.92 1735
Nationals 90 72 12 15 19 $174,447,858 3.77 4.57 1644
Cubs 94 68 8 28 27 $173,527,381 3.81 3.70 1611
Brewers 78 84 24 11 7 $83,965,000 2.00 10.00 1369
Rays 78 84 24 5 8 $71,613,332 1.56 28.57 1301
Cardinals 87 75 15 13 13 $141,085,000 2.81 5.04 1231
White Sox 66 96 36 4 2 $65,000,000 1.64 27.78 936
Blue Jays 87 75 15 7 10 $155,097,523 3.52 4.03 901
Phillies 74 88 28 6 6 $44,856,333 1.00 23.26 810
Padres 73 89 29 3 4 $81,333,333 1.52 16.67 629
Dodgers 94 68 8 8 5 $178,612,378 3.55 3.55 347
Braves 72 90 30 1 1 $109,807,709 2.15 12.77 231
Yankees 94 68 8 2 3 $157,870,357 3.43 4.12 139
Astros 101 61 1 10 12 $151,001,170 3.49 5.57 91
How the sausage is made:
Predicted wins were from Bleacher Report. Games Back = (max wins+1) - your wins. I took prospect rankings from both Baseball America (BA) and Bleacher Report (BR) and took an average. PayRate = Your Payroll/Min Payroll. Market was exported from OOTP, I took Market times Fan Interest, 3000 divided by that number, then took the square root -- all that to put market on a reasonable footing with the rest of the factors. BobbleValue is GamesBack*Prospect*Payrate*(Market^.5). I wanted to make payroll and market less significant than winning and prospect list.
A team predicted to have the most wins, with the highest ranked organizational talent, with the lowest payroll, and the largest market would be 1*1*1*1 = BobbleValue of 1. A team that should finish 30 games below the best team, with the worst prospects, a payroll 5 times the min, and the smallest market would be 30*32*5*(32^.5) = BobbleValue of 27153.
tl;dr: Anywho, Marlins are a dumpster fire just like last season. I tried that in OOTP18 and didn't get too far. I think I'll try my hand at the Royals.
Thoughts? Disagree with the rankings?
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