Quote:
Originally Posted by highandoutside
I feel like I've noticed a spike in HBPs and 3Bs. This morning I looked at triples because somebody in the "Bugs" forum brought it up, and I found a pretty clear increase in the 3B rate (I posted the numbers in that thread). I'll have to look at HBPs when I get home.
But in the meantime John, would you post the number of HBPs you're seeing per plate appearances (League HBP/League plate appearances)?
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same as "1)" above.. you can 100% control frequency of 3b.
if it is in fact "high" you can reduce it, etc.. expect volatility... if you think ~800 is normal, then 700-900 is a good range to not overreact etc... (range is different for each stat, and that is probably beyond what's necessary for triples.. a good guess though likely a bit smaller range in ootp reality) **edit** that's based on a 30t 162g season too.. assuming it is th same.. if smaller or larger that will affect volatility as you expect. (smaller = increased yearly volatility due to smaller sample size)
one note with affecting 2b, 3b and hr... it wil change the ratio of them, not reduce hits...
e.g. if you reduce 3b by ~100/year it will increase singles, doubles and home runs by various amounts. it's chanigng % chance of 3b, not reducing % chance of a hit.. so those "100" fewer 3b must be "something" else when you reduce that LTM for 3b and all other factors remaining the same.
if they are all high, reduce ltm for hits, andit reduces them all etc... just common sense logic once you work with them a bit.