Quote:
Originally Posted by NoOne
it's like going to vegas and betting against the odds.. 1 result is meaningless.
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That's were we disagree: whether a gambling setting involving pure randomness provides a good simile for an activity involving people (with their complex psychologies,physiological responses, etc).
Indeed, even the simile of Vegas breaks down because some people, using techniques like card counting, can shift the odds in their favor (compared to other people). And, so, some people winning more "than they should' is not explained by a run of good luck. But even luck (good or bad) can overwhelm (for a long time) their shifting of the odds in their favor. For a given day, week, or month a card counter can do even worse than the average gambler because of randomness.