So this graph is an average of 2016-2018 MLB players obtaining 200PA or 40IP in a season.
The OOTP numbers are from a fictional 24 team league with college heavy feeders and default injuries in seasons 30, 31, and 32 after creation.
This is the closest I've managed to get the graph after simming some 500+ seasons. Why they are so extreme, I don't know. But this is what makes the graph work at least in the league configuration that I run.
Batters age: .200
Batters dev: 1.300
Pitchers age: 2.000
Pitchers dev: 2.000
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