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There's nothing in the game that dictates with certainty, no. Things like Intelligence and Work Ethic give gentle nudges. But if you're looking for some rating that determines if a player develops or not, it doesn't exist.
If you take a game save, any young random decent prospect (say a 3.0 star guy), sim from the same copied save 20 times - sometimes he'll turn into an all-star several times over, other times he may never make the majors.
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