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Perfect league playoff probabilites
Playoff-wise, these OL teams are listed as 100% probability of making playoffs:
1. Cigar City Lagers will win AC West (they are currently ahead of all others by 19 1/2 games!)
2. Southern Southpaws will win the NC East (12 game margin over 2nd place)
3. California Quantum Condors will almost certainly win the AC East with a 10 game margin over the Green Lake Cowboys.
The remaining team's probabilities of making playoffs:
4. Kaneohe Mokes will most likely win the NC West with their 9 game margin over Victoria Vikings, but are 99.9% likely to be in playoffs
5. The Gauchos have an 85% playoff probability --- either as wild card team or as winner of AC Central (one game behind).
6. The Washington Senators cling to a slender 1 game margin in the NC Central (and 3 games ahead of 3rd place team). Playoff probs: 52.2%
7. Green Lake Cowboys "might" be a wild card team in the AC (36.3% playoff probability)
8. Ewa Beach and Victoria Vikings have possibilities for wild card in the NC (58.3% and 11.2% respectively)
No other OL teams have as much as a 1% chance of making playoffs.
So there could be up to nine of the ten playoff spots going to OL teams. More realistically, it will probably be six or seven.
On the relegation side, the Parakeets, Redlegs, and Freeloaders would be relegated if league ended "today". The Parakeets and Redlegs could perhaps escape relegation, but the Bold Strategy Cottons are only 2 games above the highest relegation spot, and could take the place of either of them.
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