Quote:
Originally Posted by CBeisbol
To give ALB123 a glimpse into a simple way I use the stats/ratings
I'm currently shopping my free agent to be closer and an OF popped up who hit .430/.235/173 (OBP/ISO/wRC+ that's a .336/.430/.571 AVG/OBP/SLG line) for the season. That's super. He hammered the ball. Great addition to my team, right?
I see his Contact rating of 40 and Avoid K of 45 and get suspicious. Yup. .390 BABIP. He's quite unlikely to hit .336 again.
Compare to another hitter with a 60 contact and 60 avoid K (and gap, power and eye ratiings similar to the first player) who hit .398/.211/156 (again OBP/SLG/wRC+) with a .347 BABIP.
Obviously the second player is the better hitter, even though the first player was soundly better in the previous season. The second player is much more likely to come close to his previous year's production
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Thanks for the example. I just copy/pasted it into my ootp desktop text file which includes hints, tips, examples. That's so wild. I never would have thought of the predictive nature of BABIP, but it makes so much sense now that you've explained it.
Free Agency began in my saved game this afternoon and all I've been doing is lookingat BABIP & wRC+ for my players and guys on the market. There's no reason for me to rush...Still, I'm like a little kid on Christmas now that I know what to glean from those two stats. Yay!
I blew an 8 game lead in mid-August this past season and finished the season 1 GB those darn Tigers. I have got to improve this lineup and I know I'm going to do it if I take my time and do my homework with these Advanced Statistics.
Quote:
Originally Posted by jimmysthebestcop
I really wish siera was included in ootp for pitchers. And xFIP-
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Geez! I never even heard of SIERA before reading your post.
I just googled and read about it. Very cool. Maybe one-day OOTP will add it among other new stats.
I'm so happy that I can finally select the Pitching Stats 2 included View and not get dizzy anymore.
