Quote:
Originally Posted by ignats75
ronhatch. Your numbers are slightly off. Don't forget that a reg pack includes ONE GUARANTEED bronze card. That pushes the AEV based on probabilities to just over 500.
|
I included that in my calculations.
Whether or not I did it correctly is certainly open to debate. Screenshot of my spreadsheet below... "Minimum" is the instant sell price and "Ratio" is the stated odds ratio of getting that type of card. "3,000 packs" is the expected number of cards of that type you're expected to average based on those odds. Note that the bronze cards average exactly two per pack, because of the guaranteed card plus a one-out-of-five chance with five random cards in the pack. Iron cards are simply the total number of cards (18,000) minus the expected cards for other tiers. The "Value" column is the expected number of cards multiplied by that minimum sale price and the average divides the total sales by the 3,000 packs that went into the calculations.
__________________
Primary team:
Secondary team, with heavy restrictions on using the auction house:
Tertiary team is AFK... I'm not allowing myself to make any changes to the team except during the offseason:
