Quote:
Originally Posted by ignats75
I can't find my spreadsheet now, but, we're pretty close either way. I posted that not to challenge, but to make sure your methodology was correct. It really doesn't matter. Bottom line is the ROI on buying regular packs suck. But sucks less than buying gold packs.
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Yeah, I was coming from the standpoint that it's entirely possible that I misunderstood something about how the pack is randomized, so I figured showing my work should rule that out.
In any case, my brother claims that he looked at the *actual* expected return from selling on the auction house in 19 and 20, and that there was a net expected gain over the long run. Remember that the values we're computing here are the *minimum* sale prices. Many cards can be sold for more... and if it's enough more, it skews the averages significantly higher.
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Primary team:
Secondary team, with heavy restrictions on using the auction house:
Tertiary team is AFK... I'm not allowing myself to make any changes to the team except during the offseason:
