|
OL likely to have exactly two teams in playoffs
So, essentially, there are three OL teams competing for two playoff spots, with a small probability of getting three playoff spots, and almost no probability of getting only one playoff spot.
In all there are four teams competing for those three slots: Inner Circle and Caspers-OL are tied for lead in ALW, with Inner Circle being the more likely team to win the division--- they have more games at home remaining and they are the better team. Whichever one of those "doesn't" win the division would be the favorite for hosting the WC game, being 1 1/2 games ahead of Southpaws-OL and 2 games ahead of Kansas Rangers-OL. The only other team possibly competing for a WC spot is the IronPigs, but they are given only 0.1% chance of that as they are 8 games back.
So the OL will likely have either 2 Wild Card teams, or one WC team with one division leader, with Inner Circle the other likely WC team. There is a small probability Inner Circle could completely collapse and leave two OL WC teams, and one division champion in the Caspers. The "pennant chase" tab gives currently a 14% chance of that scenario occurring.
There are no OL playoff possibilities left in the NL, with the Highland Raccoons 11 1/2 games back of the second wild card position with 19 games left to play.
|