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Originally Posted by CField17
Thanks.
In my opinion, if a player throws 100 mph, he would likely have better "stuff" than somebody who throws 85. In the game they could have identical stuff ratings. Don't you think it would be more likely for a flamethrower to k more people than someone who throws 85 mph fastballs?
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They do
There's a definite correlation between velocity and stuff
But, just like in real life, some players that throw 85 get more strike outs than players that throw 100.
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As far as the peeks at projected ratings, I'm suggesting that if you are comparing the game to reality, I think that it would be highly unlikely for a player with 25 control to eventually wind up with 65 control, unless they are 8 years old at time of original "scout". Essentially the game is saying that they have horrible control at 18 or 21 years old, but will wind up being an artist when it comes to placing their pitches. This seems unlikely when comparing to reality.
I guess the end game point I'm making is that if a player throws 100, they should have a much higher "stuff" rating than 30, even if they are a raw prospect. Same thing with control. If they are going to wind up having elite control ratings, they should probably have higher control ratings at a younger age than a 25 rating.
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I'd say look at minor league, college and high school pitchers.
Do some of them throw close to 100?
Do they all have incredible K rates at their level?K rates that would translate to average or better major league K rates?
I don't think so.
Here's a list of the hardest throwers (starters) in baseball
You can see most of them have a K%+ above 100. Meaning they get more K's than average
But, there are some, Sentaleza, Wheeler, that strike out many fewer.
It's certainly possible to throw hard and not get a lot of K's
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https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.as...12-31&sort=4,d