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Bringing this down a notch
I'm not trying to convince anyone that taking Snell out of the game was 100% the right move. Almost certainly, no such moves exist. Which, of course, implies, that leaving him in wasn't the definite right move either.
I'm only presenting the reasoning for the move.
And there's, as people seem to be alluding to, not probabilities. It's not that leaving Snell in means (looks through reams of paper) there's a 51% chance the Dodgers will score and taking him out means (double checks reams of paper) there's a 49% chance the Dodgers will score so, the correct move based on percentages is to take him out. That's just not how it works. So, no, managing isn't going to be turned over to the computers anytime soon. I mean, this is an OOTP forum, we know how bad the AI is.
There aren't right and wrong moves. There can be better and worse moves. Leaving Snell in would be a better move than bringing me in to pitch, but when we're talking about two major league pitchers there choices are definitely not that obvious.
For all the arguing going on right now, not just here in OOTP land, does anyone know that Cash didn't "go with his gut" (whatever it is that means exactly)?
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