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Old 10-28-2020, 09:48 PM   #212
CBeisbol
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Join Date: Aug 2019
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Posts: 2,943
Quote:
Originally Posted by Izz View Post
I don't watch Jomboy for his statistical analysis; I watch him because he's fun.

But in his breakdown of the situation he does present some interesting stats: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u3G8QytAKWA
He horribly misuses stats here

When he's talking about Mookie's stats in 2020 vs left-handed pitchers that's literally 64 plate appearances

When he's talking about left-handed fastballs, that's literally some fraction of 64 plate appearances.

And when he's talking about Betts' and Snell's third time through the order, it's basically the same thing.

Jomboy says the analytics don't support taking Snell out. Jomboy is not doing analytics. He's looking at stats. Those are two wildly different things. There's a reason people spend years at universities studying statistics and learning to analyze statistics. Because it's not nearly as easy as just looking at what happened in some fraction of 64 plate appearances. Analytics is largely learning how to figure out what numbers are meaningful and which aren't.

What he's doing here is the equivalent of flipping a coin, seeing it lands on heads and declaring that this coin is more likely to land on heads in the next flip

Or the old joke about "what does a batter hit on Tuesday day games after a full moon in July. Everyone knows that's meaningless.

I do agree that his breakdowns are usually entertaining. But, he's way out of his element here

Last edited by CBeisbol; 10-28-2020 at 09:53 PM.
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