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May as well get this started:
Atlanta (NL East) and San Diego (#2 WC) currently have identical marks of 74-65.
The Mets are 70-71, meaning that even if they sweep all their remaining games, the most they can reach is 91 wins.
Therefore the Tragic Number is 18, as that many wins would put ATL/SD out of reach, even if we're immaculate, henceforth. (Obviously, in reality, future Met losses will also advance us towards the TN.)
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