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Old 04-22-2022, 01:54 AM   #3
JeffR
FHM Producer
 
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Join Date: Apr 2002
Location: Kelowna, BC
Posts: 17,426
Basically the same problem for all 3: career arcs where their best seasons were in the first 30-40% of their career, followed by longer periods where they played at a lower, but consistent, level (except for Mogilny, who goes up and down.) The original historical rating system didn't handle that type of situation well, and I seem to have compounded it in Mogilny and Renberg's case by rating them a little low. We've made some improvements in the system that lets me model that type of situation more accurately, but I hadn't re-rated any of them to take advantage of it yet. I just did that, so they should be better next year.
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