Quote:
Originally Posted by vpapa524
In 2016 he was 20-7 with 2.96 ERA. Check out rating from scouting he was given at beginning of year. How do you explain this? Up to this point in season he is 4-11 with 7.05 ERA. Does anyone understand how this happens? Thought this game was realistic to actual game.
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It is. That's why Scherzer's having a seemingly inexplicable poor year for your team in OOTP. Inexplicably bad weeks/months/seasons happen in MLB every year.
In Scherzer's case, he's 37. Statistically, Scherzer having a poor season is more likely than not. Back in the late 90s, an ESPN columnist did a study and found that from 1982-97, no pitcher age 35 and older finished a season in the top 5 in win share. (Definition of win shares:
https://www.baseball-reference.com/bullpen/Win_Shares )
The fact that in real life Scherzer's 3-0 with a 1.80 ERA so far in 2022 illustrates that he's a HOF talent Historically most MLB pitchers just don't do what he's done since he turned 35. Between 1900-97 only 28 pitchers age 35 or older have finished a season in the top five in win shares. By the late 90s, 18 of those guys were either already in the Hall of Fame or were considered locks to get in. Another three had good shots to get in. By now, all 21 are probably in the HOF.
That's how special Max Scherzer is. I'm not a programmer or game developer, so I'm not sure if it's even technically possible to program video game in such a way where certain specific players do things that statistically they shouldn't be doing, while other players are programmed to end up with the stats that are in line with 100+ years of data from MLB games.