6/15/22
Any sliver of optimism for this season that came through in the last update has been more than crushed. So far in May the team’s record is 2-10. Tony Conchas did provide a bit of a distraction, compiling a 33 game hitting streak that was just snapped in a game he still reached base twice via walk.
However, the purpose of this update isn’t for anything related to the major league team but rather to provide a summary of my first amateur draft. The draft pool itself was an interesting one, at least according to my scout. Overall there was a standard amount of projected stars, but a deep pool of projected starters. The projected stars were an even mix of pitchers and batters, but the tier below strongly leaned batters, and specifically outfielders. My draft plan was to go best available at every pick, which based on the composition of the draft pool led to me using 7 of my 20 selections on outfielders.
My notable picks:
- I had the 21st overall selection and with that pick I took Justin McColley, a SP out of an Ohio HS. I went well above slot to sign him, giving him $7.5M to make him a member of the Padres organization. My scout sees him as a future ace, an 80-grade SP with a four pitch mix, all of which have future values of 60+. He’s projected to have average control, but above average movement and top of the line stuff. The OSA bureau disagrees however, giving him a 45 projected overall value.
- With my second pick I took Emanuel Glass, a CF from University of Arkansas. He’s coming out of college fairly developed already, going straight to Low-A to begin his professional career. Scouting sources are close on him, giving him either a 50 or 55 overall potential rating. Assuming he develops as expected, he’ll provide solidly above average defense in CF while swinging an average bat.
- My third round selection was Caleb Pope, a SP from University of Alabama. He’s projected to be a back of the rotation arm with three average or better pitches, however I wouldn’t be surprised if he ends up in the bullpen and becomes a solid relief pitcher.
- There were two SPs my scout had 80 grades on but OSA had as 20s. I was hoping to snag both as high upsides gambles, but by my fourth selection one was taken so I jumped at the other. Tristan McCormick was selected out of a New Jersey HS. If you believe my scout, his profile screams elite reliever with a 70 fastball and 75 grade curveball to pair with 45 grade control. McCormick has a third pitch, a 30 grade changeup, so he’ll be a starter in the low minors but barring a pleasant surprise in his development, he’ll end up in the bullpen at some point. If you believe OSA, he’s an org depth guy that will get a handful of years in the minors but won’t ever reach the majors.
- With my fifth selection I took David Martinez, a prep catcher from Indiana. My scout has him as an average bat paired with an average glove which combines to be a solid profile for a catcher. OSA likes him even more, bumping up his contact and power grades. That being said, this is the pick where my overslot first rounder makes an impact as it’s unlikely Martinez will sign without an unexpected change to my financials.
- In the ninth round I took Willie Alonso, a RF out of Florida State University. He was already 23 years old at the time of the draft but this is apparent in his development as he’s already a 40 overall player. His upside is capped with only a 45 overall potential grade but that’s alright as he already feels borderline MLB ready. Based on my scout’s grades, his profile looks like a 4th OF that can provide solid defense in either corner or can play CF in a pinch. He’s a contact hitter. His path to the majors relies on how his power and eye develop.
- My tenth selection was Thimotée Cochet, a prep 1B from Michigan. He’s bat only and should rarely see time in the field. His lefty bat profiles as slightly above average and according to my scout that probably won’t be enough to get him to the majors. However, he’s only one or two small tweaks from improving his bat to the point where he profiles as a major league starter. OSA already sees him as that latter profile.