Quote:
Originally Posted by Matt Arnold
0.186 BABIP and 91.4% LOB%. Generally speaking, FIP is a better predictor of card values, and while his 3.30 is still very good, there's really nothing in the current pitching model to account for the tremendous luck he's had on balls in play.
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It's called a nasty splitter.
I understand FIP is a better predictor in your model, but there's a reason for the low BABIP and all the weak contact throughout his entire career. Maybe some of these stats help:
Hardhit%: 30.4!
GB%: 41.7%
Gb/FB: .72
Nobody has that much sustained "luck", but if those are the indicators you go on, thanks for the explanation. It's lame imho, but...