Quote:
Originally Posted by mcilkaer8k
Starts in the 2's and then climbs up to over 4.5
Last 2 seasons are 4.12 and 4.68
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4.12 and 4.68 aren't good, but not necessarily terrible - depends on whether its from a change in levels and that's the new baseline or its just the season to season swing. Because there is definitely swing. My Mort Cooper has a range from 3.43 FIP (best) to 4.43 FIP (worst) with a career FIP of 3.58 over 7 seasons.
Checking the FIP is also the best way to judge relievers over several seasons. They'll have high ERA's some seasons but you can see by their FIP they are just getting bad luck - or vice versa, low ERA's but high FIP.
Along with FIP, the HR rate is the next thing to look at because that can make the FIP either unsustainably low or unsustainably high.
I'd also add that you need a 3-4 season sample to get a good idea.