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Lucky_Will · 02-22-2023, 09:29 PM

2012 Post Season

Changing it up slightly from the order described in my previous. I’m going to dig into the end of the Champions League season and then spend my next post(s) on league wrap ups while I continue to prep for 2013. It’s a long annual checklist, so I’ve gotta stretch out 2012…

Europa League Playoffs

The Europa League holds a single round of playoffs, a best-of-seven series. The two league winners, North and South, play against each other for bragging rights and a slightly higher Champions League Group seed.
This year, Astana comes in as the winner of the North. They finished 104-46 and 4 games ahead of second place IFK. Steaua Bucharest won the South with the exact same record, finishing five games ahead of Besiktas.

Fortunately, with neither team in the Champions League playoffs, the two teams can totally focus on the Europa League trophy.

In game one, Bucharest hosted the Kazakh side and rallied from 4-2 down to tie the game in the bottom of the 9th and send the game to extra innings. The hero was Bucharest LF Thomas Renard (FRA) who hit a walk-off RBI double to win game one.

Game two, however, was a romp for Astana. The Blue and Yellows plated nine runs to Bucharest’s one to tie the series at one.

In Astana, game three saw Steaua score five runs in the first three innings, but Astana found the pace they needed and held Bucharest scoreless for the rest of the game while scoring seven runs of their own to win game two.

Game three was a tight battle, 9 hits between and three runs between the two teams. Astana P Michel Cormier (FRA) outdueled Louis Corfield (ENG), pitching 6.0, 5 H, 1 R, 0 ER to Corfield’s 5.2, 4, 2, 2. Astana are within one game of the Europa League trophy!

In game four, Astana jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the second, but Bucharest tied it in the fourth, and the stalemate persisted. The game stayed deadlocked into the 12th inning when P Filip Prishvin (UKR) stepped into the box with two outs and brought home C Tatsuki Okumura (JPN) to walk off the series in the bottom of the 12th. Astana win the Europa League Championship, 4 games to 1!

The series MVP is Astana 3B Murat Dragomanovic (SLO) who batted .467 / .467 / 1.133, 3 HR, 3 RBI.

Champions League Playoffs

The Champions League winners automatically qualify for next year’s competition. That means the following teams, who finished outside the qualifyin places, could make it anyway, knocking out the lowest placed qualifier from their country:

Valencia – Would knock out Sevilla
Ajax – Would knock out RKC
Benfica – Would knock out Pacos de Ferreira
Arsenal or Man City – Would knock out Manchester United

Scroll down to the attachments for a spoiler graphic of how the playoffs shook out. I’ll work through the Round of 16 (best of three) quickly, here are the matchups:

Villarreal 1-2 Barcelona
Milan 1-2 Manchester City
Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid
Ajax 0-2 Chelsea
Benfica 0-2 Dortmund
Arsenal 1-2 Manchester United
Donetsk 0-2 Inter
Lille 2-1 Porto

Of the series, Arsenal/United was the most consistently competitive. The games were 7-2 United, 4-3 Arsenal, 2-1 United.

The quarterfinals saw the following matchups:

Barcelona v. City
Real Madrid v. Chelsea
Dortmund v. United
Inter v. Lille

As you might expect, Barca/City was close-fought. In game one, City got out to a 4 run lead only to see Barcelona rally for 3 runs in the 8th. Alas, it wasn’t enough and the Devils held on to win game one at Camp Nou. At the Ethiad City once again got out to an early lead, 5-0 in the 5th, but they blew that lead in the 6th, surrendering 3 runs to City. With the score now 8-5, Barcelona scored two more to come within one run in the 7th. But City held on to their lead to win the series 2-0.

Another clash of Spanish and English clubs saw Ronaldo’s Madrid versus Drogba’s Chelsea. In game one Madrid rallied from four runs down to score three in the late innings but they couldn’t find the equalizer and Chelsea won game one at Stamford Bridge 4-3. In game two, the teams traded punches but Chelsea held on to a one-run lead for half the game and blanked Madrid in the 9th to win 9-8 and advance.

United took on Dortmund and made quick work of the German team. In game one, Dortmund kept the game tied at one run apiece until the 10th inning. United managed to find their bats and scored 3 in the top of the 10th and Dortmund couldn’t muster a response. United win game one 4-1. Game two was a 13-0 romp for United in front of their home fans and the two Manchester sides are now on a collision course…

Inter and Lille went the distance to three games. Inter convincingly took game one 4-1 at the San Siro. In game two, the teams stayed tied at 4 into the 11th inning. Inter scored one in the 11th but Lille 2B Bernard Maisonneuve walked it off with a one run double to put Lille’s second run of the inning across and send the series back to Milan tied at 1. In game three, Milan took a two run lead in the 4th off a 2-run HR by RF Hisanori Pontes (BRA). Lille countered with a one-run single by LF Robby Delgado (BRA), but could only must two hits on the night and Inter won the series 2-1.

The Quarterfinals summarized:

Barcelona 0-2 City
Real Madrid 0-2 Chelsea
Dortmund 0-2 United
Inter-2-1 Lille

In game one of City-Chelsea, the Manchester squad took the lead 4-1 in the 5th and didn’t look back. They scored two more in front of Chelsea’s home fans to win 6-1. Game two and it’s a must-win for Chelsea’s search for a double (League trophy and Champions League title). For some reason, with aces Petr Cech (CZE) and Jose Delgado (ESP) both rested, the Blues started their number 4 starter Sorcha Powell (ENG). Powell went four innings behind Chelsea’s bats who scored 9 to City’s 3. Chelsea headed to the bullpen and held City to two more runs, scoring two of their own to take game two 11-6. In game three, it’s the rubber match for the final and once again, Cech and Delgado are on the bench. City pounce on the poor decision and batter Chelsea’s pitching for 8 runs. Chelsea get to City’s bullpen in the 7th and score 5 runs in the late stages, but it’s not enough. Didier Drogba, at bat as the tying run in the bottom of the 9th with two on, grounds out 4-3 and City head to Munich for the Champions League Final!

Game one of at Old Trafford is a day at the park for United against Milan. United P Phil Cunningham (ENG) pitched a complete game gem, 9.0, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER and hit a 2-run home run to help his own cause out and United crush Inter 8-0. Game two in Milan goes better for Inter, they score 8 runs, but United’s bats overpower Milan’s pitching and they get 12 runs to win the series.

City 2-1 Chelsea
United 2-0 Inter

The Champions League final is set: cross-town rivals Manchester United and Manchester City meet for a single game in Munich in front of 40,000 fans. The game will also determine qualification for the Champions League next year. Manchester United have to win to stay in Europe, City, who finished the league in 6th, have to win to qualify and knock out their archrivals.

(Fun fact, IRL Tottenham finished 4th in the 2011-12 Premier League and qualified for Champions League, but when Chelsea, who finished 6th, won the Champions League final on a penalty kick from Didier Drogba, Spurs were knocked out of qualification for the group stage. Art imitates life!)

City’s all-star lineup plays station-to-station baseball in the third: Kun Aguero singles, Carlos Tevez singles, David Silva walks, Nani singles to score Aguero, Balotelli walks to score Tevez. City is up 2-0. In the 7th SS Dave Sanchez (VEN) hits a solo shot and City is up by three. But in the bottom of the 8th, United standout Danny Lara (ESP) hits a 2-run HR and Wayne Rooney follows it with a solo shot to tie the game. The game is tied 3-3 in the ninth. City can’t score in the top of the 9th and Lara comes to bat with the bases loaded and two outs. On the 2-0 pitch Lara line drives a walk-off single and wins the game and the Champions League for United!

Around the stadium the Man United fans sing "We know who we are! We know who we are! Champions of Europe! We know who we are!!!"

The Player of the Tournament is Real Madrid’s Mezut Ozil, who batted .590/.699/1.154, 10 HR, 4.1 WAR. Golden Arm is Petr Cech, 8-1, 0.70 ERA, 77.0 IP, 7.1 WAR.

Champions League Seeding

With the Champions League and Europa League complete, the numbers are in to seed next year’s Champions League group stage. Here’s how it works.

Teams are seeded by win percentage times a modifier times the natural log of their run differential:

Seeding Coefficient = Win Pct x Modifier x ln(Run Differential)

The modifiers are as follows:

Champions League winner: 1.3

Top four leagues (ENG, ESP, GER, ITA):

First place: 1.15
Second place: 1.15
Third place: 1.1
Fourth place: 1.0

France:

First place: 1.1
Second place: 1.0
Third place: 1.0

Portugal:

First place: 1.0
Second place: 0.94

Russia: 0.95

Netherlands: 0.95

Belgium: 0.93

Austria: 0.93

Scotland: 0.93

Europa League:

League champion: 0.93
League runner-up: 0.9
Second place: 0.85
Third place: 0.85

The Champions League winners league (English Premier League in this case) have an increased modifier, an increase in their factor by 0.05-0.1.
Under this setup, top seed for the 2013 Champions League is AB Milan, who had a .921 win pct and +956 run differential.

Groups are seeded in a tournament style, with the top seed, bottom seed, and middle seeds in Group A, Group B is seeds 8, 9, 24, 25, and it gets pretty complicated after that. See the attached graphic for the whole process.

Group A

Milan (ITA)
Genoa (ITA)
Sturm Graz (AUT)
Donetsk (UKR, EUR N)

Group B

Bordeaux (FRA)
Liverpool (ENG)
Astana (KAZ, EUR N)
Bucharest (ROM, EUR S)

Group C

Chelsea (ENG)
Lille (FRA)
Villarreal (ESP)
IFK (SWE, EUR N)

Group D

Barcelona (ESP)
Tottenham (ENG)
Dijon (FRA)
Sevilla (ESP)

Group E

Roma (ITA)
Rubin Kazan (RUS)
Pacos de Ferreira (POR)
Schalke (GER)

Group F

Bayern (GER)
Porto (POR)
Mainz (GER)
Besiktas (TUR, EUR S)

Group G

Inter (ITA)
Man United (ENG)
Dortmund (GER)
Celtic (SCO)

Group H

Real Madrid (ESP)
RKC (NED)
Club Brugge (BEL)
Tel Aviv (ISR, EUR S)

Next year’s tournament begins on July 16th and the final will be in Wembley Stadium in London.

My next post will probably be the first in a series of league-by-league wrap ups, and then we’ll talk Euro 2012!

02-22-2023, 09:29 PM	#53
Lucky_Will Minors (Double A) Join Date: May 2022 Posts: 100	2012 Post-Season 2012 Post Season Changing it up slightly from the order described in my previous. I’m going to dig into the end of the Champions League season and then spend my next post(s) on league wrap ups while I continue to prep for 2013. It’s a long annual checklist, so I’ve gotta stretch out 2012… Europa League Playoffs The Europa League holds a single round of playoffs, a best-of-seven series. The two league winners, North and South, play against each other for bragging rights and a slightly higher Champions League Group seed. This year, Astana comes in as the winner of the North. They finished 104-46 and 4 games ahead of second place IFK. Steaua Bucharest won the South with the exact same record, finishing five games ahead of Besiktas. Fortunately, with neither team in the Champions League playoffs, the two teams can totally focus on the Europa League trophy. In game one, Bucharest hosted the Kazakh side and rallied from 4-2 down to tie the game in the bottom of the 9th and send the game to extra innings. The hero was Bucharest LF Thomas Renard (FRA) who hit a walk-off RBI double to win game one. Game two, however, was a romp for Astana. The Blue and Yellows plated nine runs to Bucharest’s one to tie the series at one. In Astana, game three saw Steaua score five runs in the first three innings, but Astana found the pace they needed and held Bucharest scoreless for the rest of the game while scoring seven runs of their own to win game two. Game three was a tight battle, 9 hits between and three runs between the two teams. Astana P Michel Cormier (FRA) outdueled Louis Corfield (ENG), pitching 6.0, 5 H, 1 R, 0 ER to Corfield’s 5.2, 4, 2, 2. Astana are within one game of the Europa League trophy! In game four, Astana jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the second, but Bucharest tied it in the fourth, and the stalemate persisted. The game stayed deadlocked into the 12th inning when P Filip Prishvin (UKR) stepped into the box with two outs and brought home C Tatsuki Okumura (JPN) to walk off the series in the bottom of the 12th. Astana win the Europa League Championship, 4 games to 1! The series MVP is Astana 3B Murat Dragomanovic (SLO) who batted .467 / .467 / 1.133, 3 HR, 3 RBI. Champions League Playoffs The Champions League winners automatically qualify for next year’s competition. That means the following teams, who finished outside the qualifyin places, could make it anyway, knocking out the lowest placed qualifier from their country: Valencia – Would knock out Sevilla Ajax – Would knock out RKC Benfica – Would knock out Pacos de Ferreira Arsenal or Man City – Would knock out Manchester United Scroll down to the attachments for a spoiler graphic of how the playoffs shook out. I’ll work through the Round of 16 (best of three) quickly, here are the matchups: Villarreal 1-2 Barcelona Milan 1-2 Manchester City Valencia 0-2 Real Madrid Ajax 0-2 Chelsea Benfica 0-2 Dortmund Arsenal 1-2 Manchester United Donetsk 0-2 Inter Lille 2-1 Porto Of the series, Arsenal/United was the most consistently competitive. The games were 7-2 United, 4-3 Arsenal, 2-1 United. The quarterfinals saw the following matchups: Barcelona v. City Real Madrid v. Chelsea Dortmund v. United Inter v. Lille As you might expect, Barca/City was close-fought. In game one, City got out to a 4 run lead only to see Barcelona rally for 3 runs in the 8th. Alas, it wasn’t enough and the Devils held on to win game one at Camp Nou. At the Ethiad City once again got out to an early lead, 5-0 in the 5th, but they blew that lead in the 6th, surrendering 3 runs to City. With the score now 8-5, Barcelona scored two more to come within one run in the 7th. But City held on to their lead to win the series 2-0. Another clash of Spanish and English clubs saw Ronaldo’s Madrid versus Drogba’s Chelsea. In game one Madrid rallied from four runs down to score three in the late innings but they couldn’t find the equalizer and Chelsea won game one at Stamford Bridge 4-3. In game two, the teams traded punches but Chelsea held on to a one-run lead for half the game and blanked Madrid in the 9th to win 9-8 and advance. United took on Dortmund and made quick work of the German team. In game one, Dortmund kept the game tied at one run apiece until the 10th inning. United managed to find their bats and scored 3 in the top of the 10th and Dortmund couldn’t muster a response. United win game one 4-1. Game two was a 13-0 romp for United in front of their home fans and the two Manchester sides are now on a collision course… Inter and Lille went the distance to three games. Inter convincingly took game one 4-1 at the San Siro. In game two, the teams stayed tied at 4 into the 11th inning. Inter scored one in the 11th but Lille 2B Bernard Maisonneuve walked it off with a one run double to put Lille’s second run of the inning across and send the series back to Milan tied at 1. In game three, Milan took a two run lead in the 4th off a 2-run HR by RF Hisanori Pontes (BRA). Lille countered with a one-run single by LF Robby Delgado (BRA), but could only must two hits on the night and Inter won the series 2-1. The Quarterfinals summarized: Barcelona 0-2 City Real Madrid 0-2 Chelsea Dortmund 0-2 United Inter-2-1 Lille In game one of City-Chelsea, the Manchester squad took the lead 4-1 in the 5th and didn’t look back. They scored two more in front of Chelsea’s home fans to win 6-1. Game two and it’s a must-win for Chelsea’s search for a double (League trophy and Champions League title). For some reason, with aces Petr Cech (CZE) and Jose Delgado (ESP) both rested, the Blues started their number 4 starter Sorcha Powell (ENG). Powell went four innings behind Chelsea’s bats who scored 9 to City’s 3. Chelsea headed to the bullpen and held City to two more runs, scoring two of their own to take game two 11-6. In game three, it’s the rubber match for the final and once again, Cech and Delgado are on the bench. City pounce on the poor decision and batter Chelsea’s pitching for 8 runs. Chelsea get to City’s bullpen in the 7th and score 5 runs in the late stages, but it’s not enough. Didier Drogba, at bat as the tying run in the bottom of the 9th with two on, grounds out 4-3 and City head to Munich for the Champions League Final! Game one of at Old Trafford is a day at the park for United against Milan. United P Phil Cunningham (ENG) pitched a complete game gem, 9.0, 2 H, 0 R, 0 ER and hit a 2-run home run to help his own cause out and United crush Inter 8-0. Game two in Milan goes better for Inter, they score 8 runs, but United’s bats overpower Milan’s pitching and they get 12 runs to win the series. City 2-1 Chelsea United 2-0 Inter The Champions League final is set: cross-town rivals Manchester United and Manchester City meet for a single game in Munich in front of 40,000 fans. The game will also determine qualification for the Champions League next year. Manchester United have to win to stay in Europe, City, who finished the league in 6th, have to win to qualify and knock out their archrivals. (Fun fact, IRL Tottenham finished 4th in the 2011-12 Premier League and qualified for Champions League, but when Chelsea, who finished 6th, won the Champions League final on a penalty kick from Didier Drogba, Spurs were knocked out of qualification for the group stage. Art imitates life!) City’s all-star lineup plays station-to-station baseball in the third: Kun Aguero singles, Carlos Tevez singles, David Silva walks, Nani singles to score Aguero, Balotelli walks to score Tevez. City is up 2-0. In the 7th SS Dave Sanchez (VEN) hits a solo shot and City is up by three. But in the bottom of the 8th, United standout Danny Lara (ESP) hits a 2-run HR and Wayne Rooney follows it with a solo shot to tie the game. The game is tied 3-3 in the ninth. City can’t score in the top of the 9th and Lara comes to bat with the bases loaded and two outs. On the 2-0 pitch Lara line drives a walk-off single and wins the game and the Champions League for United! Around the stadium the Man United fans sing "We know who we are! We know who we are! Champions of Europe! We know who we are!!!" The Player of the Tournament is Real Madrid’s Mezut Ozil, who batted .590/.699/1.154, 10 HR, 4.1 WAR. Golden Arm is Petr Cech, 8-1, 0.70 ERA, 77.0 IP, 7.1 WAR. Champions League Seeding With the Champions League and Europa League complete, the numbers are in to seed next year’s Champions League group stage. Here’s how it works. Teams are seeded by win percentage times a modifier times the natural log of their run differential: Seeding Coefficient = Win Pct x Modifier x ln(Run Differential) The modifiers are as follows: Champions League winner: 1.3 Top four leagues (ENG, ESP, GER, ITA): First place: 1.15 Second place: 1.15 Third place: 1.1 Fourth place: 1.0 France: First place: 1.1 Second place: 1.0 Third place: 1.0 Portugal: First place: 1.0 Second place: 0.94 Russia: 0.95 Netherlands: 0.95 Belgium: 0.93 Austria: 0.93 Scotland: 0.93 Europa League: League champion: 0.93 League runner-up: 0.9 Second place: 0.85 Third place: 0.85 The Champions League winners league (English Premier League in this case) have an increased modifier, an increase in their factor by 0.05-0.1. Under this setup, top seed for the 2013 Champions League is AB Milan, who had a .921 win pct and +956 run differential. Groups are seeded in a tournament style, with the top seed, bottom seed, and middle seeds in Group A, Group B is seeds 8, 9, 24, 25, and it gets pretty complicated after that. See the attached graphic for the whole process. Group A Milan (ITA) Genoa (ITA) Sturm Graz (AUT) Donetsk (UKR, EUR N) Group B Bordeaux (FRA) Liverpool (ENG) Astana (KAZ, EUR N) Bucharest (ROM, EUR S) Group C Chelsea (ENG) Lille (FRA) Villarreal (ESP) IFK (SWE, EUR N) Group D Barcelona (ESP) Tottenham (ENG) Dijon (FRA) Sevilla (ESP) Group E Roma (ITA) Rubin Kazan (RUS) Pacos de Ferreira (POR) Schalke (GER) Group F Bayern (GER) Porto (POR) Mainz (GER) Besiktas (TUR, EUR S) Group G Inter (ITA) Man United (ENG) Dortmund (GER) Celtic (SCO) Group H Real Madrid (ESP) RKC (NED) Club Brugge (BEL) Tel Aviv (ISR, EUR S) Next year’s tournament begins on July 16th and the final will be in Wembley Stadium in London. My next post will probably be the first in a series of league-by-league wrap ups, and then we’ll talk Euro 2012! Attached Images