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Originally Posted by SkoCubs
Just going to ignore the Rockies piece because that throws a wrench in it all and that's for you to figure out.
College pitchers are generally MUCH safer, you can start to really stack middle of the rotation pitchers to a crazy degree if you target college pitchers every year in the first round. Talking 48-60 OVR players (on a scale of 80) -- this is a great way to flip SP's for hitting prospects after you get 3-4 who are solidified at the ML level.
However, you do run into the issue that you have zero top of the rotation arms and are very susceptible to the randomness of baseball. High School pitchers have more time for talent change randomness and time to learn new skills, thus having a better chance at becoming a Top of the rotation arm.
I think it depends where you are. If you're a big market team, you can complement your middle of the rotation college draft picks with an ace in FA. If you're a small market team, then college pitchers will keep you competitive but you might always be lacking the bullpen in both the regular season and playoffs to make up for their 4.00 ERA's, along with lacking of a true ace off the Free Agent market.
Ideally you'd find your solid core of 3-4 homegrown college draft picks that develop into middle of the rotation big leaguers then you can take swings on high schoolers
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Being the Rockies makes it so much more interesting though.Who you draft, who you trade for.