BNN Weekly Report
This Week in the CBO, BMU, and GBRL
by Nat Wright-Kawolski
10 March 2306
2306 Nuka Cup
Two weeks of the Nuka Cup Tournament is now complete. We already know of two teams definitely going to the Quarterfinals Round and nine who will not be there at all. Let's take a look at each of the regionals and scenarios for each team still alive.
For tiebreakers in even series records, here are the tiebreaker rules:
1. Head-to-head matchups
2. Overall record (if still tied with two teams, move to #5)
3. For three or more teams tied: head-to-head vs other tied teams
4. For three or more teams tied: overall record
5. Runs differential
6. Home Run Derby
Group A - University Point
The last seed in this Regional and the worst team in the North Charles Association, the The Slog Ghouls have opened up a can so far in this tournament, winning three of their four series and standing as the only 3-1 team in the University Point Regional. On the opposite side, the #2 seed, Easy Town, is 1-3 and eliminated from consideration. All they can do is to play spoiler in their series against the host Deathclaws.
Here are the last matchups:
Easy Town vs University Point
FHE vs Oberland
Starlight vs The Slog
The Slog: For the Ghouls, win two or three games against Starlight (1-1), and they would be the #1 team out of the regional. Should they lose, they would have the tiebreaker advantages over University Point, Oberland, and FHE, but not the advantage over the Killers. First, they would want to avoid the sweep, which could eliminate them if FHE defeats the T-51s. Second, they would want to root for University Point to lose at least one game versus the Assaultrons. However, an alternative method to win the #1 seed is also to lose but Oberland and University Point wins, in which case The Slog would win tiebreakers.
University Point: They need to defeat the Trons, probably in a sweep. They would also want to cheer on The Slog and Oberland in their series.
Oberland: They need to defeat the Yao Guai in an elimination series, probably in a sweep. They would then cheer on Easy Town and The Slog.
Starlight: They must win the series versus the Ghouls. They could be the #1 seed if FHE and Easy Town both win their series.
FHE: They need to defeat the T-51s in an elimination series. A sweep would be helpful but not pertinent. They can only earn the #2 seed since a tie for 1st would require one of the three or more teams' tiebreakers in which they would be at a disadvantage. Therefore, they want to root for The Slog to win as well as Easy Town.
Likely finishes: We are going to predict UP, Oberland, and Starlight all to win their series as the higher-rated teams knowing they need the series wins. Should that happen, four teams would be 3-2 and tied for 1st place. In that case, the #1 seed would be The Slog and the #2 seed would be University Point.
Group B - County Crossing
Only one team is eliminated due to a poor showing, Quincy, while another is mathematically eliminated in the County Crossing Regional. #2 Roxbury and #4 Diamond City are currently each 3-1, meaning they both have the inside track to move on from this regional. Let's take a look at scenarios.
The matchups:
Roxbury vs County Crossing
Bunker Hill vs Concord
Diamond City vs Quincy
Roxbury: Currently listed as the frontrunner due to their overall record, the Rad Sox are in position to clinch a Quarterfinals Round spot with a series win. To earn the #1 seed, they would need to win and have Diamond City lose to Quincy. Should the Sox lose, they would need some help in the final standings, starting with Bunker Hill beating Concord and the Swatters winning their series. Then, Roxbury would also need to win one game against the Bloodbugs to be the #2 seed.
Diamond City: If the Swatters win their series over Quincy, they are the #1 seed in the regional since they won the head-to-head matchup with the Rad Sox. If they lose, they could still be the #1 seed in a four-way tie with Roxbury, County Crossing, and Bunker Hill. If the Swatters lose and the Sox win, they would need the 75ers to defeat the Radstags to be the #2 seed.
County Crossing: The Bugs cannot clinch 1st place, but they can be the 2nd-place team. They need a series win over the Rad Sox. Then, they need Concord to down Bunker Hill to win tiebreakers in both a three-way tie for second or four-way tie for 1st to earn the 2nd seed.
Concord: The Radstags have one scenario to earn the #2 seed. They need to win, they need Roxbury to win their series, and they need Quincy to overrun the Swatters.
Bunker Hill: The 75ers are technically eliminated because they would lose every tiebreaker scenario. Their series is just an exhibition for them.
Group C - Nordhagen Beach
The host Party Boys started off slowly, but they are now in position to get one of the spots in the Quarterfinals in a tough final matchup. Two teams, Spectacle Island and Goodneighbor, are both done since they trail Jamaica Plain and Finch Farm by two with just one series to play.
Here are the matchups:
Jamaica Plain vs Nordhagen Beach
Finch Farm vs Salem
Spectacle Island vs Goodneighbor
Jamaica Plain: Simply, the Rockets get the #1 seed with a series win over Nordhagen Beach. Should the Red Rockets lose, they also need the Four Leafs to lose. In that case, there would be a four-way tie for 1st place, and the Rockets would get the #2 seed due to tiebreakers. If Jamaica Plain loses and Finch Farm wins, then the Rockets would be eliminated.
Finch Farm: The Leafs also need a series win to earn a spot in the Quarterfinals Round. If they win and the Red Rockets lose, then they are the #1 seed. If Finch Farm loses, then they would be eliminated.
Nordhagen Beach: The Party Boys need a series win, and they are in. They could be the top seed from their own regional if they win and the Witch Hats win their series. In a four-way tie for first place, the Boys would be the team to win all tiebreakers. Should the Leafs win, Nordhagen Beach would be the second team in. A series loss, and the Boys are out.
Salem: The Hats have the toughest road to making it through this regional. They cannot be the #1 seed from the regional. To earn the #2 seed, Salem would need to win their series over Finc Farm and have the Rockets eliminate Nordhagen Beach.
Group D - Egret
The Egret Regional is the easiest to break down. At 4-0, both the Ninjas and Sunshine Tidings have secured their spots in the Quarterfinal Round. All they need do now is to play their series to determine who will be the top seed and who will be the second seed. All other teams are eliminated.
Matchups:
Sunshine Tidings vs Egret
Vault 81 vs Atom
Lexington vs Fort Hagen
