Quote:
Originally Posted by No Pepper
Taking a look at Pete Hill under the hood in the OOTP24 database, it is easy to see why he's "struggling" to get playing time in your Control Test. His real life stats are designated "Single A level" for the majority of his career from 1904-1908. You saw a bump in ratings in 1905 as expected (Triple AAA stats).
It is interesting that the 1907-1908 NACBP that Hill participated in is given Major League status in the database. He won't see that level of ratings bump until 1920 but his recalc during the interim will roller coaster from Single A to Triple A. It will be interesting to see how his ratings fluctuate during this time.
|
Yeah, same with most of the guys from the pre-1920 era. Some penalty is fair enough, but not single A.
I've been advocating a more granular approach for these guys, applying some sort of "League Strength" modifier for the various Negro and Latin leagues to players' stats from each season. That's where I'm heading next with my edits in what should be the final step for them.
Mine already take some of this into consideration, given I split the raw stats with the MLE and Eric applies this discount where necessary into his calculations. You see it in these earlier guys more than the later ones.
Here, by way of example, are the lines in my calc for Pete:
That's using EC's v2.0 MLEs, where he upgraded most players - the difference was far greater in the earlier version.
The issue I have with my own workings is that I'm worried I am overcorrecting, especially now with Eric having moved his workings upward.
I have Pete maxing out at a 360 AVG with 9 HR in his age-31 season. I don't think that's outrageous, especially given the game will always drag him down to that MiLB-level imprint over the course of a season.
All the same, I'm going to look at the results from this study and make a call on that. If so, I'll change my methodology somewhat to reflect it. It may simply need a bit of fine tuning so their peak seasons aren't so peak, because I think I've got things pretty close to where they should be career-wise in the OOTP context.
We shall see.
G