Quote:
Originally Posted by LansdowneSt
Pick a MiLB guy with a wild one year out of context year (like Babe T did in the bigs in 1922), and then go low on A/W so that outlier year drives the rating attribute. Then walk up the numbers until you see it adjust. Have all the years be minors in the recalc range. I don’t know what you will find. The minors are obviously already discounted relative to the majors but someone like yourself that looks at minor leagues relative to other minor league guys… I don’t know the A/W effect. Or the sample size effect. For that maybe find guys that hit .333 going 1 for 3 and 200 for 600 (or close enough to each other) and compare them in the same year/league. When I play for fun, it is typically minors off so I have neither anecdotal or quantitative experience to bear with regard to the minors. Maybe there is some fixed MiLB A/W internally.
|
OK so I've ID'd 6 guys from the 1930 PCL who all hit over .350. The AB's for each guy are 2, 12, 124, 239, 310, and 721.
I'm going to do 1-year recalc and I'm thinking of these combinations of Adj/Wkn for each test:
300/150
200/100
120/20
100/0
0/0
And then I'll see how ratings compare. I would think would give insight on if/how Adj/Wkn settings apply to minor leagues...
Anyone have any suggestions on how I might tweak this testing?
Thanks in advance.