Quote:
Originally Posted by jcard
Really, broad realism and one-year recalc via blunt algorithm are basically an incompatible ends / means pairing. There are lots of similar problems. For example: a player who was an All-Star in years X-2, X-1, X+1, and X+2, but got only 100 ABs in year X due to injury is treated no differently for that year than some lifetime minor leaguer who got called up for the final month and feasted on September pitching (including a lot of pitchers who he had just spent five months batting against in AAA, though know these same matchups are given the frisson of “MLB-quality”). Similarly, the 4x multiplier for starter thresholds (vs reliever thresholds) makes modern seasons virtually impossible in terms of having enough decent starters without permitting a number of small sample size relief heroes.
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You have the option to double-weight the 100 AB in year X to hit 200 AB.