Quote:
Originally Posted by Sinking KC
Thing is, you can find glitches in the ratings of all players if you take time to look for them. Riddle me how Bobby Witt, Jr. currently has 7 triples for the KCRoyals in 282 ABs, but in OOTP25 is projected for 2 the entire season. Even his future expected talent shows him estimated at 2 triples per season. This for a player who hasnt yet reached his prime, had 6 triples as a rookie, a league leading 11 last season and already 7 in 282 ABs in 2024. The fastest player in MLB. Simply makes no sense. And the model has his expected HRs (20) and doubles (38) right on what his real stats rate is in 2024. So whats with the triples? Again, it makes no sense. In other words, OOTP25 is not perfect by any means.
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Where are you seeing this? Just booted up a standard game and he's projected for 5 triples in a neutral environment. KC is super triple friendly, which is about 7.5 triples at Kauffman. Maybe a little light sure, but not too bad.
Livestart does show two though, which is weird, but the gap power is actually higher
I think what the neutralized stats doesn't take into account is his speed. The triple ratio is 0 in the standard, which means his speed, which is quite high, will determine his triples. In the livestart its .057, which I think will take triples away from him. Have you tried simming out a year to see how many triples he gets?
Here's one of my sims I started a few days ago:
My guess is the neutralized stats aren't going to give the true picture. The speed and gap is more important. 2028 was the first season he dropped below 2 triples, and he led with 8 in '25. This version has a 5 expected for triples and a 0 3B ratio, which in game has the expected .130 based on his speed.