Quote:
Originally Posted by OrangeP47
Huh, I'll believe it when I see it, but the fall of the Boys would indeed be something. I feel like we may be Lucy with the Football with all our predictions, but maybe the big reshuffle is indeed just around the bend.
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I started the analysis because I thought there were some teams that have not been good for a while that I felt were due soon. Apparently, though, they are not that good at developing their minor league players.
First-round players are almost automatic to make it to the CBO. After the first round, though, teams need to be able to find gems to turn around their fortunes.
So, to simplify the formulas I used to arrive at these rankings, if everything is in a vacuum (prospects develop at their expected rates, there are no imbalanced trades of veterans for useless prospects, and there are no bad dice rolls by me or the AI), then this could be the expectations.
What I think will happen is that some teams will have hard falls like Diamond City and Fort Hagen did while some other teams are going to continue to reload and have better "luck" in player development.
You mentioned Nordhagen Beach. With no interference from me, and looking through my changes log, no beneficial events for their minor league players, they are still getting players who have high positive volatility. C Clownie Blammo was a 6th-round pick. He is currently the CBO's 6th-rated catcher. 1B Mountainside Rockhand was a 1st-round pick (14th overall in 2306) but has developed into the CBO's 11th-best 1B. In their current minor league system, they only have two players that are supposed to develop into good CBO players: SP Dixie Williams and 1B Pistol Holder. I have a feeling, though, based on the past, that there are some hidden gems currently in their system.
I have been a long-time OOTP player, so I know the OSA ratings do not tell the full story. Even in my current "god mode," I still do not have scouting set to 100% because I want to be surprised that "heroes" emerge. The OSA scouts tell me part of the story, but there are still other dynamics about the game system that make their scouting unreliable. I like that.
I am also a fairness god who wants every team to have their day. This league is not the same as creating a league with my home-town team as a part of the league. I am the creator of a world where I want to love every team equally. I also am more immersed in the visuals of the league, so sometimes I do find myself positively rooting for the logos/uniforms/color combinations I like better. The ones I thoroughly dislike I change: Egret Scrappers, East Boston Prep Assaultrons, Shaw HS Knuckle Punchers (Roxbury Rad Sox). Then I like them.
The story was also meant to propel a few deep dives of some programs and what they need to do to change their fortunes. I would like to feature a few teams with a few stars and then a bunch of junk to see what they may have coming up that can make them championship competitors.