OOTP Developments Forums - View Single Post - Less Spread in SP K/9 compared to MLB and prior versions

atlbrave1 · 11-15-2024, 01:08 PM

Using v97 (saw similar issues in prior versions).

Ran a fictional sim for 20 years using MLB setup with out of the box settings except for injuries turned up to High - Modern Realistic and no league evolution. For Year 20, looked at K per 9 for qualified starting pitchers and noted that the spread between high and low seemed too close together. Reviewed data compared to league average and noted that 1 SD of K per 9 was .83.

Ran 20 years in OOTP23 and OOTP24 with out of the box settings.
OOTP 23 Yr 20: 1 SD of K/9 was 1.31 for qualified starting pitchers
OOTP 24 Yr 20: 1 SD of K/9 was 1.61 for qualified starting pitchers.

Looking at some MLB seasons:
1986: 1.44
1987: 1.39
1996: 1.34
1997: 1.70
2010: 1.44
2011: 1.46
2024: 1.27
2024 (expand qualifiers to 130 IP to get similar amount of pitchers): 1.43

Seems like there is still something in player creation/development that changed from prior versions which is leading to a lot of similarity in starting pitchers.

Just wondering if this was a purposeful decision and if so, why does it appear to not track to MLB data?

Note: Anyone with better data skills than me (probably lots), feel free to let me know how I screwed up. Was just trying to find best way to describe what felt like clustered results (i.e., lots of similar stat line starting pitchers).

Additional Note: Just looked at sim built with PCMS and Totals for 80's stats: Yr 35: 1 SD of K/9 was .78.

11-15-2024, 01:08 PM	#1
atlbrave1 Minors (Triple A) Join Date: Apr 2002 Posts: 277	Less Spread in SP K/9 compared to MLB and prior versions Using v97 (saw similar issues in prior versions). Ran a fictional sim for 20 years using MLB setup with out of the box settings except for injuries turned up to High - Modern Realistic and no league evolution. For Year 20, looked at K per 9 for qualified starting pitchers and noted that the spread between high and low seemed too close together. Reviewed data compared to league average and noted that 1 SD of K per 9 was .83. Ran 20 years in OOTP23 and OOTP24 with out of the box settings. OOTP 23 Yr 20: 1 SD of K/9 was 1.31 for qualified starting pitchers OOTP 24 Yr 20: 1 SD of K/9 was 1.61 for qualified starting pitchers. Looking at some MLB seasons: 1986: 1.44 1987: 1.39 1996: 1.34 1997: 1.70 2010: 1.44 2011: 1.46 2024: 1.27 2024 (expand qualifiers to 130 IP to get similar amount of pitchers): 1.43 Seems like there is still something in player creation/development that changed from prior versions which is leading to a lot of similarity in starting pitchers. Just wondering if this was a purposeful decision and if so, why does it appear to not track to MLB data? Note: Anyone with better data skills than me (probably lots), feel free to let me know how I screwed up. Was just trying to find best way to describe what felt like clustered results (i.e., lots of similar stat line starting pitchers). Additional Note: Just looked at sim built with PCMS and Totals for 80's stats: Yr 35: 1 SD of K/9 was .78.